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Frozen pre-match forecast · #91068

Ilisiakos VS Saronikos Anavyssou

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.78%
Draw
27.53%
Away
18.69%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3244
Log loss
0.6203

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
f0630bd1889495719c1596dc376ada40de98a8ef755b08de46f7cbd2d7e53e8c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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