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Frozen pre-match forecast · #91065

Ethnikos Piraeus VS Amfiali

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.13%
Draw
32.65%
Away
28.22%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6864
Log loss
1.1193

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
871fb6e43f9e2f15483a8c38a106f94d3a398c055fa0beee20d3d689ae728379

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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