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Frozen pre-match forecast · #90953

Bylis VS Albpetrol Patos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
86.59%
Draw
9.28%
Away
4.13%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.0283
Log loss
0.1440

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
408b8c2611c651518af7ee109ef49326f1338f255aa4143976ccc5c5f769320b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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