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Frozen pre-match forecast · #90952

Burreli VS Eagle FA

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
58.51%
Draw
20.43%
Away
21.06%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.0072
Log loss
1.5578

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
4cf6322ae913c5095a436b94e59d6e457eec417b41fb0a1c91b7fac3278866b1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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