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Frozen pre-match forecast · #9093

Beti Kozkor VS Cortes

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:38 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.15%
Draw
33.20%
Away
28.64%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5748
Log loss
0.9635

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:38 UTC
SHA-256
ab8135fd4e7f6115995990ecf491f1fc866cb0e8431cf949f407521c460f7939

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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