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Frozen pre-match forecast · #90720

Adanaspor VS Adana Adaletgucu

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
7.37%
Draw
12.36%
Away
80.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.0596
Log loss
0.2198

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
98975d66a5df032c05a0cb0337fd868e35b4fae9f8902927cd6066261fee39d6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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