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Frozen pre-match forecast · #9065

Saumur VS Stade Briochin

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:37 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
18.01%
Draw
41.43%
Away
40.55%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.5575
Log loss
0.9025

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:37 UTC
SHA-256
41948a84b4965cfd36e5d9c8c4321acdb96b84c405557a8d3010f7aeca5ba7eb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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