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Frozen pre-match forecast · #90608

Dartford VS Ramsgate

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.42%
Draw
22.98%
Away
23.61%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9217
Log loss
1.4436

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
e232cf4f841636a661e4f7f3b9da32abd7e42ff8c6eac4083fb28f38779c5bac

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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