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Frozen pre-match forecast · #90524

12 de Junio VH VS SOL DE America

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.99%
Draw
27.41%
Away
39.61%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7926
Log loss
1.2944

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
62965c0c06fbb2b927103e53f591dcbc8680cc3fd6c18cf9f901efddeb5e2a7e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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