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Frozen pre-match forecast · #90503

Liptovský Mikuláš VS Šamorín

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.09%
Draw
25.40%
Away
37.51%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6010
Log loss
0.9918

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
dd12cffdcc5710d0ec7993aa046d4afecaa4fc837e6dc067b5c2f52b58665e9e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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