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Frozen pre-match forecast · #90286

Enugu Rangers VS Abia Warriors

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
69.68%
Draw
21.20%
Away
9.12%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1452
Log loss
0.3613

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
139c80892f5a233ab68afc332995acfa7d974f6693d0f697f0a5d75b462add0d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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