Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #89988

Rupel Boom VS Sint-Truiden II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.86%
Draw
21.59%
Away
26.54%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3488
Log loss
0.6565

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
7c1bf4e4e36b1bae4cc852d28d19e6020a19722c0c713ccac2166f2552406d78

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →