Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #89912

1908 SZAC VS SC Sopron

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.80%
Draw
24.30%
Away
45.89%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.4406
Log loss
0.7788

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
25f3dd3be7916e8aa44831f7012cea688756084a0904bb8d855c0e247a847da9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →