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Frozen pre-match forecast · #89899

Rana VS Eidsvold

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.40%
Draw
19.73%
Away
60.88%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0592
Log loss
1.6400

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
d4d8f8be5844dfc70eb7f1fe5cbaa5d33edeea3eacf228db053f77fca932eb89

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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