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Frozen pre-match forecast · #89847

Vasas II VS BKV Előre

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
86.91%
Draw
8.92%
Away
4.18%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0269
Log loss
0.1404

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
b2fc22eece9179ce3a3f85d20c79a06108f10f714228fdb819c38972df23e695

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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