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Frozen pre-match forecast · #89829

Karviná II VS Zlín II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.21%
Draw
24.59%
Away
38.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5808
Log loss
0.9623

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
ed3bb81fa176ff7c1467927e6cd019fb0f8f2f6896e5a38f51a9be3e31cbd2f2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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