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Frozen pre-match forecast · #89826

Bohemians 1905 II VS Písek

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.37%
Draw
23.51%
Away
40.12%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.8783
Log loss
1.4477

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
ddf07fafcd6e1a990768158d55e481ff7e50f1cc903fc494dfb2c75f07b4f698

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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