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Frozen pre-match forecast · #89780

Raja Casablanca VS CR Khemis Zemamra

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.54%
Draw
26.42%
Away
18.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3000
Log loss
0.5881

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
7a5117a0dbbd8fe46e1f8c474dbe143cd50e21f27df443ef59007d0c7bd08f3b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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