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Frozen pre-match forecast · #89599

Hoogstraten VS Houtvenne

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.38%
Draw
21.24%
Away
51.38%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8365
Log loss
1.2954

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
47ca61a6efdb61f2efda2fb723c66a3e95e633d9efe38a76bd5fd997b7038f73

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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