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Frozen pre-match forecast · #89475

Spartak Myjava W VS Spartak Trnava W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
99.04%
Draw
0.82%
Away
0.14%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

6 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0002
Log loss
0.0096

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
db9d530c54512a3f7f2a3854a5ebfbcfbb9f7abac3b7832b5a1e5923f20d2029

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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