Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #8937

Atromitos VS Kifisia

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:35 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.61%
Draw
30.61%
Away
25.78%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8347
Log loss
1.3556

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:35 UTC
SHA-256
2594c67d6183c5c2997b9836be8237d06c3535dca7ef78582d63697ac7a62552

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →