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Frozen pre-match forecast · #89303

Solothurn VS Münsingen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
69.46%
Draw
16.34%
Away
14.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1401
Log loss
0.3643

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
be02f6e6ff1fab5a741a51774c5d730f9130d3d8f4198ceb7a1e61bdbc7fa757

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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