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Frozen pre-match forecast · #89262

Podillya Khmelnytskyi VS Vilkhivtsi

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.67%
Draw
25.50%
Away
30.82%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7343
Log loss
1.1769

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
cfe818873a6e0f91ebbd23aace47ec7ccfae99f85d5577438c900217688da0c6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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