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Frozen pre-match forecast · #8925

FK Sarajevo VS Sloga Doboj

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:34 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.06%
Draw
31.88%
Away
29.06%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5575
Log loss
0.9401

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:34 UTC
SHA-256
447a818abd7a45a40ffc110ce2a45f6ca7923a979f5d14c17cb3a3e88a588320

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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