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Frozen pre-match forecast · #89051

Atletik Kuklen VS Rozova dolina

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.29%
Draw
25.12%
Away
40.59%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.8430
Log loss
1.3815

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
1396c041d12a40279e7ae14722238166a8d89a90b964a87b5cf0a366c159e8de

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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