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Frozen pre-match forecast · #8893

SJK Akatemia VS KäPa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:34 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.55%
Draw
29.03%
Away
32.42%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.6896
Log loss
1.1264

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:34 UTC
SHA-256
d297c02270a13e4d61c07cdc385e3bc81319f31b86fcd394f4a1d1afb5fe6490

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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