Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #88590

Bray Wanderers VS Cobh Ramblers

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.78%
Draw
21.93%
Away
21.29%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.9900
Log loss
1.5469

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
fc532702ccd80dfb215af8d6566b5b5368a3dde70f89153d94d9a633dede18c7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →