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Frozen pre-match forecast · #88580

Inter de Minas VS Santarritense

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
73.51%
Draw
17.23%
Away
9.26%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

7 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1084
Log loss
0.3077

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
b92e4266c53eb7cb3a378b7fb420185142b5ca7b58b0ad5d9ed24d7be7e8b4eb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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