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Frozen pre-match forecast · #88567

Oberwart VS SV Horn

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.47%
Draw
24.43%
Away
27.10%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3987
Log loss
0.7242

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
933b835944e5b7cd87fa217b6f48198a7c8fc04513616b3ea85ee2c3e9efad81

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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