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Frozen pre-match forecast · #88513

Hranice VS Líšeň II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
15.82%
Draw
22.10%
Away
62.09%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0173
Log loss
1.5097

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
d8507ce206d06070a848d901989aab15ab98e6ae12b44d2d5d0cd0a12c4d8e75

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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