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Frozen pre-match forecast · #88491

Tanta SC VS Haras El Hodood

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.47%
Draw
31.95%
Away
39.58%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5482
Log loss
0.9268

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
e2051d8c06394578dbb6539ab9d51b517543d8d49d12be85c4c8174f05bec939

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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