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Frozen pre-match forecast · #88393

Qatar SC VS Al Bidda SC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 17:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.85%
Draw
22.06%
Away
21.08%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2793
Log loss
0.5647

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
8176f84b0c0d2c1a60c01a3148cb6129c6abe56033daa76783ad40b5fb47cc86

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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