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Frozen pre-match forecast · #88389

Madla VS Viking

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
4.76%
Draw
9.71%
Away
85.53%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.0326
Log loss
0.1563

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
ca4548f9e5c95be6f9c5885c801bf97c15dd8abbc5dd3cadfa21187bac4bbf63

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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