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Frozen pre-match forecast · #88383

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa VS Hapoel Acre

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.84%
Draw
24.04%
Away
24.13%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3480
Log loss
0.6571

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
b4566172ac8bed54909ece07d639f59e6578c1578f2dc7c2bfdc32eef61437f2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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