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Frozen pre-match forecast · #88331

Bumamuru VS Flambeau du Centre

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.37%
Draw
28.09%
Away
39.53%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5493
Log loss
0.9280

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
089e3eb425f465b4c6dc2f8c0ba352c3eebdca87373b99cd1a93d7c66206c71d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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