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Frozen pre-match forecast · #88310

Trollhättan VS Mjallby AIF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
13.30%
Draw
18.03%
Away
68.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
1.2558
Log loss
2.0174

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
947278308972cb60eb83d901a5a677996c2f198cd38823999467157889c2120f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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