Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #88266

Strommen VS Sandnes ULF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.94%
Draw
24.30%
Away
35.77%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.8605
Log loss
1.4148

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
f248a13f2725e1598f27269faccbd5c3acdc656c038777bfe7344e25da2a7c67

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →