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Frozen pre-match forecast · #88182

Antofagasta VS Universidad de Chile

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 02:00 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 22:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
23.80%
Draw
24.40%
Away
51.80%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9085
Log loss
1.4355

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 02:00 UTC
SHA-256
0b0ace7968cada32b395b3cad1245d1132cb9b7b9b097483e7dc84318c47e3e5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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