Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #88106

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla VS Team

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 01:00 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.97%
Draw
31.12%
Away
24.91%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4728
Log loss
0.8217

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 01:00 UTC
SHA-256
ac78da07dac84eb9abdec65ef54507e9e9b5f6fa385c5a8aefcb52b5d9698c17

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →