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Frozen pre-match forecast · #88083

Dubai United VS Hatta SC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 01:00 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 13:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.62%
Draw
24.44%
Away
25.94%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3808
Log loss
0.7008

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 01:00 UTC
SHA-256
442a4a81564b29a08d8ad8f9ec3d84825b3af4ff94cce219fb48fe8e36b68b44

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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