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Frozen pre-match forecast · #88003

Feyenoord VS Como

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.31%
Draw
23.23%
Away
34.46%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5055
Log loss
0.8601

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
SHA-256
fd83f4dfb82a5b7269cd418572d9209fe45440f09c158f94629b47501a3ca208

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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