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Frozen pre-match forecast · #87952

Minerva Punjab VS Odisha

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.40%
Draw
25.35%
Away
22.25%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3403
Log loss
0.6463

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
SHA-256
cfd97945a80d920d5ee2b41f9c20cdf2cc1b42251df0497b8fa612d6acf46038

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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