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Frozen pre-match forecast · #8792

Uxbridge VS Farnborough

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:32 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.75%
Draw
29.77%
Away
33.48%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7404
Log loss
1.2117

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:32 UTC
SHA-256
4aaf89ba7794a491ca2768aa96e12a601ef1b41edb7d462cfcf42aefe6f7d8cb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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