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Frozen pre-match forecast · #87852

Konyaspor VS Palestine

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Match kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
75.88%
Draw
15.89%
Away
8.23%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.2900
Log loss
1.8395

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
SHA-256
ab322aa991278dee605d2e0dddc6b86d434f846ac380394a127152ef6e152214

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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