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Frozen pre-match forecast · #87844

Lviv U19 VS Livyi Bereh U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.22%
Draw
26.06%
Away
44.73%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.4588
Log loss
0.8046

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
SHA-256
215cff786853076816b058649dd9dd7dfcbb89906d8f48eaeeabfb8004904c92

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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