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Frozen pre-match forecast · #87753

Ilisiakos VS Saronikos Anavyssou

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.78%
Draw
27.53%
Away
18.69%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3244
Log loss
0.6203

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
30 Sep 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
0cc015d9b84c8f0989cd1952a5f6c048980d57ae27706a0153f17e906411ee44

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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