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Frozen pre-match forecast · #87562

Olympique Safi VS Chabab Ben Guerir

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
62.94%
Draw
25.39%
Away
11.66%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2154
Log loss
0.4629

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
9e90f0ba1ca476106b37765ca8569ea38ced3e1a24bb2ef8cc84d4388289ffe7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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