Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #8749

Bedford Town VS King's Lynn Town

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:31 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.78%
Draw
29.21%
Away
41.01%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7466
Log loss
1.2113

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:31 UTC
SHA-256
2bc259a8321b871257dc0ec3f91f858411c893f2ebf29ca6be3ac4db539f3719

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →