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Frozen pre-match forecast · #87384

12 de Junio VH VS SOL DE America

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.99%
Draw
27.41%
Away
39.61%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7926
Log loss
1.2944

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
c4aa605525313813b31ece64bfad7ccd43bb697be177fcf9f3be97e778a50b2e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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