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Frozen pre-match forecast · #87363

Liptovský Mikuláš VS Šamorín

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.83%
Draw
25.95%
Away
33.22%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5278
Log loss
0.8958

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
e06db7d663ebf609e62cc2465ac7df6c018d260c32be698596af214ff0c7e6b3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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